I am well aware of the n/N ratio for this survey.I am assuming you read it ? it talks about interviewing 2400 odd people in feb and march of last year . Some how 2400 out of 1.3 billion is suposed to represent reality
True, lets see what pew surveys next. I doubt it was affected much (in any massive swing percentage)...especially if you look at the trends they have been measuring since 2014.also this was taken before the gst impact and the demonitaision figures came out bro. The ground realities are totally different in India at the moment , never believe the headlines !!!
Thats a behaviour I don't support (given the labour data to support it only gets released next year). But Pravdaism (on both sides) aside, I am talking about ground popularity for Modi here.for instance the govt took out front page adds to say that almost 6cr jobs were created but no govt ministry can ratify these figures. Arun shouri said it best when he said this govt manages headlines.
Sure and lets see how they vote in 2019 when it becomes Modi vs Rahul Gandhi again (rather than state level anti incumbency driven). Modi was much less popular in 2014 too...and we saw the result gained that time (well past the opinion + exit polling averages). Sorry but congress needs much more credible face (and underlying attitude) to begin with to play well.Do you know why is it that the rural sector are the best judge is politicians? its because they are a lot more down to earth , they believe only in what they see and no amount of feel good headlines will make them believe some thing which is not true.
FPTP system voteshare esp on total federal level is not really too relevant w.r.t popularity trends (pew for example reports that modi is popular with 65% of congress voters) because of what voteshare is with respect to more general popularity.Bro do remember he only got 31% of the vote share , 69% of people did not vote bjp. The is the first majority govt of India to have such a low vote share.