Crisis in the Arabian Gulf | Page 28 | World Defense

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UAE official says tensions with Iran can be addressed 'only' politically: Twitter
June 23, 2019

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DUBAI (Reuters) - Tensions in the Gulf can only be addressed politically and priority should be de-escalation and dialogue, a senior United Arab Emirates official said on Thursday.

“Tensions in the Gulf can only be addressed politically. Crisis long in the making requires collective attention; primarily to de-escalate and to find political solutions through dialogue and negotiations,” Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Anwar Gargash said in a Twitter post.

Reporting By Hadeel Al Sayegh; Editing by Raissa Kasolowsky

 

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Trump says new sanctions on Iran to start Monday, dials back rhetoric
June 22, 2019
by Parisa Hafezi, Nandita Bose
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DUBAI/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Saturday he would impose fresh sanctions on Iran but that he wanted to make a deal to bolster its flagging economy, an apparent move to defuse tensions following the shooting down of an unmanned U.S. drone this week by the Islamic Republic.

On Thursday, an Iranian missile destroyed a U.S. Global Hawk surveillance drone, an incident that Washington said happened in international airspace. Trump later said he had called off a military strike to retaliate because it could have killed 150 people.

Tehran repeated on Saturday that the drone was shot down over its territory and said it would respond firmly to any U.S. threat.

Speaking in Washington on Saturday before heading to the U.S. presidential retreat at Camp David, Trump indicated the government was taking a diplomatic path to put pressure on Tehran by moving to impose new sanctions.

Military action was “always on the table,” the president said, but he added that he was open to quickly reaching a deal with Iran that he said would bolster the country’s flagging economy.

 

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Germany's Merkel urges political solution in Iran crisis
June 23, 2019

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German Chancellor Angela Merkel attends a news conference after the European Union leaders summit in Brussels, Belgium, June 21, 2019.
REUTERS/Piroschka van de Wouw



FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The international community must seek a political solution on Iran, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Saturday, after U.S. President Donald Trump said he had aborted a military strike to retaliate against Tehran’s downing of a U.S. drone.

Speaking at an annual gathering of Protestant churches, Merkel also said the Iran issue would be discussed at next week’s meeting of leaders of the Group of 20 leading economies in Japan, at least at a bilateral level.

“There has to be a political solution (on Iran) and that is what we are working on,” Merkel said.

Reporting by Andreas Rinke; Writing by Tom Sims; Editing by Gareth Jones

 

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Pompeo says willing to engage with Iran when time is right
June 23, 2019

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U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo delivers remarks during an event to release of 2019 Trafficking in Persons report at the State Department in Washington, U.S., June 20, 2019. REUTERS/Yuri Gripas

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States will intensify its economic pressure on Iran until Tehran forgoes violence and engages with U.S. diplomatic efforts, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Saturday.

“We are willing to engage when the time is right,” Pompeo said in a statement. He said when Tehran decides “to forgo violence and meet our diplomacy with diplomacy, it knows how to reach us.”

Reporting by Jason Lange, editing by G Crosse

 

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Iran lawmakers chant 'Death to America' as U.S. called 'terrorist'
June 23, 2019

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DUBAI (Reuters) - Iranian lawmakers chanted “Death to America” during a parliament session on Sunday after a speaker accused the United States of being the “real world terrorist”, amid escalating tension with Washington following the downing of an unmanned U.S. drone.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday he aborted a military strike to retaliate for the drone incident because it could have killed 150 people, and signaled he was open to talks with Tehran.

Iran said on Saturday it would respond firmly to any threat against it.

“America is the real terrorist in the world by spreading chaos in countries, giving advanced weapons to terrorist groups, causing insecurity, and still it says ‘Come, let’s negotiate’,” the parliament’s deputy speaker, Masoud Pezeshkian, said at the start of a session broadcast live on state radio.

“Death to America,” chanted many lawmakers.

The chants, often repeated since the 1979 Islamic revolution which toppled the U.S.-backed Shah, came weeks after Trump said in a U.S. television interview: “They (Iranians) haven’t screamed ‘death to America’ lately.”

Reporting by Dubai newsroom; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore

 

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Any conflict in region could spread: Iran general
June 23, 2019
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Major General Gholamali Rashid

DUBAI (Reuters) - Any conflict in the Gulf region may spread uncontrollably, a senior Iranian military commander was cited as saying on Sunday by the semi-official news agency Fars.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday he aborted a military strike to retaliate for Iran’s downing of a drone because it could have killed 150 people, and signaled he was open to talks with Tehran.

Iran said on Saturday it would respond firmly to any threat against it.
“If a conflict breaks out in the region, no country would be able to manage its scope and timing,” Major General Gholamali Rashid said, according to Fars.
“The American government must act responsibly to protect the lives of American troops by avoiding misconduct in the region.”

U.S. ally Israel, which has itself long threatened strikes against Iran’s disputed nuclear program, signaled understanding for Trump’s stance given his campaign of diplomatic pressure on Tehran.

“With all due respect to the fact that 150 Iranians were spared a cruel fate, the real major thing is the American policy (which) absolutely serves the interests of the world and of Israel in preventing Iran from getting nuclear weaponry,” Regional Cooperation Minister Tzachi Hanegbi told Israel Radio.

Trump said on Saturday he would impose fresh sanctions on Iran but that he wanted to make a deal to bolster its flagging economy, an apparent move to defuse tensions.

Hanegbi predicted, however, that Washington could still hit out at the Iranians if provoked in the Gulf.
“I learned that - if you study theater - a pistol that is brought out in the First Act will apparently be fired in the Third Act (and) we are getting close to the third,” he said.

Reporting by Dubai and Jerusalem newsrooms; Editing by Raissa Kasolowsky/Keith Weir

 

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Iran to scale back nuclear deal compliance unless Europe moves: diplomat
June 23, 2019

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DUBAI (Reuters) - Iran may further scale back compliance with its nuclear deal soon unless European countries shield it from U.S. sanctions through a trade mechanism, the head of Tehran’s Strategic Council on Foreign Relations was quoted as saying on Sunday.

Tehran said in May it would reduce compliance with the nuclear pact it agreed with world powers in 2015 in protest at the United States’ decision to unilaterally pull out of the agreement and reimpose sanctions last year.

“If Europeans don’t take measures within the 60-day deadline (announced by Iran in May), we will take new steps,” the semi-official news agency ISNA quoted Kamal Kharazi as saying. “It would be a positive steps if they put resources in (the planned European trade mechanism) Instex and ...make trade possible.”

Reporting by Dubai newsroom, editing by Louise Heavens

 

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U.S. sanctions on Iran are biting: Bolton
June 23, 2019 / Updated 17 minutes ago
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U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton delivers joint statements with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Jerusalem June 23, 2019. Tsafrir Abayov/Pool via REUTERS

JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Iran is feeling the effects of existing U.S. sanctions as President Donald Trump prepares to impose more of them from Monday, his National Security Adviser John Bolton said on Sunday during a visit to Israel.

While flagging further sanctions, Trump also said on Saturday he wanted to make a deal to bolster Iran’s flagging economy, an apparent move to defuse tensions following the shooting down of an unmanned U.S. drone by the Islamic Republic.

Tensions in the region began to worsen significantly when Trump pulled out of a 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six powers and reimposed sanctions on the country. The sanctions had been lifted under the pact in return for Tehran curbing its nuclear program.

“Iran’s continued pursuit of nuclear weapons, its threats to exceed the limits set in the failed Iran nuclear deal in the coming days ... are not signs of a nation seeking peace,” Bolton told reporters during a visit to Israel.

“Sanctions are biting, and more added last night,” he said. “Iran can never have nuclear weapons - not against the U.S.A. and not against the world.”

Iran may further scale back compliance with its nuclear deal unless European countries shield it from U.S. sanctions through a trade mechanism, the head of Tehran’s Strategic Council on Foreign Relations was quoted as saying on Sunday.

“If Europeans don’t take measures within the 60-day deadline (announced by Iran in May), we will take new steps,” the semi-official news agency ISNA quoted Kamal Kharazi as saying.

“It would be a positive steps if they put resources in (the planned European trade mechanism) Instex and ...make trade possible.”

The Trump administration, with the support of Israel and some Gulf Arab powers, has deemed the 2015 deal insufficient to deny Iran the means of making nuclear weaponry in the long term.

Iran denies seeking nuclear weapons, and has been cool to U.S. suggestions of renewed negotiations.

Reporting by Dubai and Jerusalem newsrooms, editing by Louise Heavens

 

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AP sources: US struck Iranian military computers this week
23 June 2019
By TAMI ABDOLLAH

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WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. military cyber forces launched a strike against Iranian military computer systems on Thursday as President Donald Trump backed away from plans for a more conventional military strike in response to Iran’s downing of a U.S. surveillance drone, U.S. officials said Saturday.

Two officials told The Associated Press that the strikes were conducted with approval from Trump. A third official confirmed the broad outlines of the strike. All spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly about the operation.

The cyberattacks — a contingency plan developed over weeks amid escalating tensions — disabled Iranian computer systems that controlled its rocket and missile launchers, the officials said. Two of the officials said the attacks, which specifically targeted Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps computer system, were provided as options after Iranian forces blew up two oil tankers earlier this month.

The IRGC, which was designated a foreign terrorist group by the Trump administration earlier this year, is a branch of the Iranian military.

The action by U.S. Cyber Command was a demonstration of the U.S.’s increasingly mature cyber military capabilities and its more aggressive cyber strategy under the Trump administration. Over the last year U.S. officials have focused on persistently engaging with adversaries in cyberspace and undertaking more offensive operations.
There was no immediate reaction Sunday morning in Iran to the U.S. claims. Iran has hardened and disconnected much of its infrastructure from the internet after the Stuxnet computer virus, widely believed to be a joint U.S.-Israeli creation, disrupted thousands of Iranian centrifuges in the late 2000s.

Tensions have escalated between the two countries ever since the U.S. withdrew last year from the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran and began a policy of “maximum pressure.” Iran has since been hit by multiple rounds of sanctions. Tensions spiked this past week after Iran shot down an unmanned U.S. drone — an incident that nearly led to a U.S. military strike against Iran on Thursday evening.

The cyberattacks are the latest chapter in the U.S. and Iran’s ongoing cyber operations targeting the other. Yahoo News first reported the cyber strike.

In recent weeks, hackers believed to be working for the Iranian government have targeted U.S. government agencies, as well as sectors of the economy, including finance, oil and gas, sending waves of spear-phishing emails, according to representatives of cybersecurity companies CrowdStrike and FireEye, which regularly track such activity. This new campaign appears to have started shortly after the Trump administration imposed sanctions on the Iranian petrochemical sector this month.

It was not known if any of the hackers managed to gain access to the targeted networks with the emails, which typically mimic legitimate emails but contain malicious software.

Tensions have run high between the two countries since the U.S. withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran last year and began a policy of “maximum pressure.” Iran has since been hit by multiple rounds of sanctions. Then Iran shot down an unmanned U.S. drone this week.

“Both sides are desperate to know what the other side is thinking,” said John Hultquist, director of intelligence analysis at FireEye. “You can absolutely expect the regime to be leveraging every tool they have available to reduce the uncertainty about what’s going to happen next, about what the U.S.’s next move will be.”
CrowdStrike shared images of the spear-phishing emails with the AP.

One such email that was confirmed by FireEye appeared to come from the Executive Office of the President and seemed to be trying to recruit people for an economic adviser position. Another email was more generic and appeared to include details on updating Microsoft Outlook’s global address book.

The Iranian actor involved in the cyberattack, dubbed “Refined Kitten” by CrowdStrike, has for years targeted the U.S. energy and defense sectors, as well as allies such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, said Adam Meyers, vice president of intelligence at CrowdStrike.

The Department of Homeland Security said in a statement released Saturday that its agency tasked with infrastructure security has been aware of a recent rise in malicious cyber activities directed at U.S. government agencies by Iranian regime actors and proxies.

Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency Director Christopher C. Krebs said the agency has been working with the intelligence community and cybersecurity partners to monitor Iranian cyber activity and ensure the U.S. and its allies are safe.

“What might start as an account compromise, where you think you might just lose data, can quickly become a situation where you’ve lost your whole network,” Krebs said.
The National Security Agency would not discuss Iranian cyber actions specifically, but said in a statement to the AP on Friday that “there have been serious issues with malicious Iranian cyber actions in the past.”

“In these times of heightened tensions, it is appropriate for everyone to be alert to signs of Iranian aggression in cyberspace and ensure appropriate defenses are in place,” the NSA said.

Iran has long targeted the U.S. oil and gas sectors and other critical infrastructure, but those efforts dropped significantly after the nuclear agreement was signed. After Trump withdrew the U.S. from the deal in May 2018, cyber experts said they have seen an increase in Iranian hacking efforts.

“This is not a remote war (anymore),” said Sergio Caltagirone, vice president of threat intelligence at Dragos Inc. “This is one where Iranians could quote unquote bring the war home to the United States.”

Caltagirone said as nations increase their abilities to engage offensively in cyberspace, the ability of the United States to pick a fight internationally and have that fight stay out of the United States physically is increasingly reduced.

The U.S. has had a contentious cyber history with Iran.

In 2010, the so-called Stuxnet virus disrupted the operation of thousands of centrifuges at a uranium enrichment facility in Iran. Iran accused the U.S. and Israel of trying to undermine its nuclear program through covert operations.

Iran has also shown a willingness to conduct destructive campaigns. Iranian hackers in 2012 launched an attack against state-owned oil company Saudi Aramco, releasing a virus that erased data on 30,000 computers and left an image of a burning American flag on screens.

In 2016, the U.S. indicted Iranian hackers for a series of punishing cyberattacks on U.S. banks and a small dam outside of New York City.

The Defense Department refused to comment on the latest Iranian activity. “As a matter of policy and for operational security, we do not discuss cyberspace operations, intelligence or planning,” Pentagon spokeswoman Heather Babb said in a statement. The White House did not respond to a request for comment.

Despite the apparent cyber campaign, experts say the Iranians would not necessarily immediately exploit any access they gain into computer systems and may seek to maintain future capabilities should their relationship with the U.S. further deteriorate.

“It’s important to remember that cyber is not some magic offensive nuke you can fly over and drop one day,” said Oren Falkowitz, a former National Security Agency analyst. It takes years of planning, he said, but as tensions increase, “cyber impact is going to be one of the tools they use and one of the hardest things to defend against.”
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Associated Press writer Lolita C. Baldor in Washington and Jon Gambrell in Dubai contributed to this report. Follow Tami Abdollah on Twitter at https://twitter.com/latams

 

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Bolton warns Iran not to mistake US ‘prudence’ for weakness
By ARON HELLER
32 minutes ago
23 June 2019


U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton gives statements to media in Jerusalem, Sunday, June 23, 2019. (AP Photo/Tsafrir Abayov, Pool)

JERUSALEM (AP) — U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton said Sunday that Iran should not “mistake U.S. prudence and discretion for weakness,” after the U.S. abruptly called off military strikes against Iran in response to the shooting down of an unmanned American surveillance drone.

Bolton’s tough message seemed to be aimed not only at Tehran, but also at reassuring key U.S. allies that the White House remains committed to maintaining pressure on Iran. Israel, along with Arab countries in the Gulf, considers Iran to be their greatest threat, and Trump’s last-minute about face appears to have raised questions about U.S. willingness to use force against the Islamic Republic.

The downing of the aircraft on Thursday marked a new high in the rising tensions between the United States and Iran in the Persian Gulf. The Trump administration has vowed to combine a “maximum pressure” campaign of economic sanctions with a buildup of American forces in the region, following the U.S. withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and world powers.

President Donald Trump says he backed away from the planned strikes after learning 150 people would be killed. But Bolton, a longtime Iran hawk, emphasized that the U.S. reserved the right to attack at a later point. He also said a new set of sanctions on Iran are expected to be announced Monday.

“No one has granted them a hunting license in the Middle East. As President Trump said on Friday our military is rebuilt, new and ready to go,” Bolton said in Jerusalem alongside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, himself a vocal critic of Iran over the years.

“And as he made clear yesterday, referring to his earlier remarks, the president said, ‘I just stopped the strike from going forward at this time,’” Bolton added.

Bolton is visiting Israel for three-way talks with his Israeli and Russian counterparts that are expected to focus on Iranian involvement in conflicts across the region, including in neighboring Syria.

Israel’s prime minister has been a vocal critic of Iran over the years, accusing the Islamic Republic of sinister intentions at every opportunity.

But Netanyahu, a longtime opponent of the nuclear deal, has remained uncharacteristically quiet throughout the current crisis between the U.S. and Iran. The Israeli leader appears to be wary of being seen as pushing the U.S. into a new Middle Eastern military conflict.

Standing alongside Bolton, Netanyahu sided with the Americans. He said Iranian involvement in conflicts across the region had increased as a result of the nuclear deal, which gave the country a new cash infusion, and had nothing to do with the U.S. exit from the agreement.

“After the deal, but before recent events, Iran has been on a campaign of aggression,” he said. “Those who describe the recent actions as somehow opening a hornet’s nest are living on another planet.”

Netanyahu made no mention of the called-off airstrike and said he was “pleased” by U.S. plans for increased economic pressure. But Israeli commentators said that Trump’s about-face was a cause for concern.

“It further undermined the already limited confidence of other Western leaders in Trump’s judgment, it cast the U.S. president as a paper tiger and provided a moment of triumph for the ayatollahs in Tehran and it raised new doubts about the rationale behind Netanyahu’s drive to persuade
Trump to abandon the 2015 nuclear deal,” wrote Haaretz columnist Chemi Shalev.

Netanyahu has repeatedly accused Iran of seeking to develop nuclear weapons — a charge Tehran denies.

Earlier in his decade-long tenure, Netanyahu and other Israeli officials had strongly considered attacking Iranian nuclear installations. Under heavy pressure from the Obama administration and his own security chiefs, Netanyahu ultimately decided against military action.

A top Iranian military commander warned Sunday that any conflict with Iran would have uncontrollable consequences across the region and endanger the lives of U.S. forces. Maj. Gen. Gholamali Rashid’s remarks, published by the semi-official Fars news agency, were made while addressing Iran’s powerful Revolutionary Guards Corps during a field visit to a command center for Iranian radars and missile systems. The general oversees and coordinates joint military operations in the Iranian Armed Forces.

U.S. military cyber forces on Thursday launched a strike against Iranian military computer systems, according to U.S. officials. The cyberattacks disabled Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps computer systems that controlled its rocket and missile launchers, the officials said.

Throughout the recent crisis, Trump has wavered between bellicose language and actions toward Iran and a more accommodating tone. His administration is aiming to cripple Iran’s economy and force policy changes by re-imposing sanctions, including on Iranian oil exports.

However, Trump said Saturday he appreciated that Iran did not fire on a U.S. spy plane with a crew of over 30 people that was flying Thursday over the same area as the drone that was shot down.

He also dangled the prospect of eventually becoming an unlikely “best friend” of America’s longtime Middle Eastern adversary.
Iranian lawmakers on Sunday chanted “death to America” during an open session when acting parliament speaker Masoud Pezeshkian condemned what he said was the violation of Iranian airspace by the U.S. drone.

The regional tensions have prompted major international carriers, including Saudi Arabia’s state airline Saudia, to divert flight routes away from the Gulf of Oman and Strait of Hormuz.

The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration’s on Friday barred U.S.-registered aircraft from operating over parts of the Persian Gulf.

The U.S. blames Iran for apparent attacks on six oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman in recent weeks, which Iran denies. Iranian-allied rebels in Yemen have also recently launched attacks on a civilian airport in Saudi Arabia, a desalination plant and key oil pipeline in the kingdom. The kingdom has been at war in Yemen against the rebels since 2015.
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Nasser Karimi reported from Tehran, Iran. Aya Batrawy contributed reporting from Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

 

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The Latest: Pompeo goes to Saudi, UAE for talks on Iran
23 June 2019
updated an hour ago

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TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — The Latest on tensions between the U.S. and Iran and in the Persian Gulf (all times local):
10:50 p.m.
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is traveling to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates for talks on Iran.

Speaking to reporters before flying out on Sunday, Pompeo said he’ll be talking to the two U.S. allies “about how to make sure that we are all strategically aligned” and how to build a global coalition to “push back against the world’s largest state sponsor of terror.”

At the same time, Pompeo reiterated that the U.S. was prepared to negotiate with Iran with no preconditions to ease tensions in the Persian Gulf.

Tensions spiked last week after Iran downed an unmanned U.S. military aircraft.
President Donald Trump said he backed away from planned strikes against Iran after learning that 150 people would be killed but said military action was still an option.
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9:30 p.m.
A top UK diplomat has met with senior officials in Tehran to discuss preventing “escalation and miscalculation” amid heightened tensions between the U.S. and Iran.

On Sunday, the UK Foreign Office quoted Andrew Murrison, the minister of state for the Middle East, as saying his visit was aimed at “open, frank and constructive engagement” with his Iranian counterparts.

He said this included reiterating the UK’s assessment that Iran almost certainly bears responsibility for recent attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman, which Iran denies.
Murrison added that Iran must continue to meet its commitments under a 2015 nuclear deal with world powers that the Trump administration withdrew from a year ago before re-imposing crippling economic sanctions on the country.
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5:05 p.m.
Iran’s president has accused the United States of fueling tensions in an already volatile region, as the crisis between the two countries escalates.

The official IRNA news agency quoted Sunday Hassan Rouhani as saying the “interventionist military presence” of the U.S. is responsible for the Middle East’s problems.
Rouhani also denounced what Iran alleges was the incursion of its airspace by a U.S. military drone, which Tehran shot down on Thursday.

Rouhani said: “We expect international bodies to show proper reaction to the invasion move.” His remarks came during a meeting with the president of IPU, or Inter-Parliamentary Union, Gabriela Cuevas, in Tehran.

The U.S. says the drone was flying above international waters near the Persian Gulf.

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1:30 p.m.
U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton says Iran should not “mistake U.S. prudence and discretion for weakness.”

Speaking alongside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Jerusalem Sunday, Bolton says no one has granted Iran a “hunting license in the Middle East.”

The comments come days after President Donald Trump announced he called off military strikes on Iran after learning approximately 150 Iranians would be killed, saying it would’ve been out of proportion to the shooting down of an unmanned American surveillance drone by Iran.

Bolton, a longtime Iran hawk, says sanctions will continue against Tehran and that the U.S. reserves the right to attack it at a later point. He emphasized that Trump had only “stopped the strike from going forward at this time.’”
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12:20 p.m.
An Iranian military commander warned on Sunday that any conflict with Iran would have uncontrollable consequences across the region and endanger the lives of U.S. forces, as tensions between Washington and Tehran flare after the downing of an American surveillance drone.

The semi-official Fars news agency on Sunday quoted Gen. Gholamali Rashid as saying the Trump administration “should behave in a responsible way to protect the lives of American forces.”

Gen. Rashid said if war happens, its scope and duration could not be controlled, and blamed any escalation on “U.S. interventionist policy.”
The general oversees and coordinates joint military operations in the Iranian Armed Forces.

Iran said it shot down the U.S. drone on Thursday but elected not to fire on a manned U.S. military aircraft flying in the area at the same time.

U.S. military cyber forces launched a strike against Iranian military computer systems on Thursday as President Donald Trump backed away from plans for a more conventional military strike after learning approximately 150 Iranians would be killed.
___
11:30 a.m.
Saudi Arabia’s state airline Saudia says it is rerouting flight paths to some Asian destinations in order to avoid Iranian airspace amid heightened tensions in the Persian Gulf.

The statement Saturday evening follows the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration’s decision to bar U.S.-registered aircraft from operating over parts of the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, after Iran shot down a U.S. military drone on Thursday.

The airline says it’s a precautionary measure for aviation safety, and Saudi-owned Al Arabiya news channel says the airline’s decision affects flight routes over the Gulf of Oman and the Strait of Hormuz.

Other regional carriers like Etihad and Emirates on Friday announced they too have changed their flight paths in the Persian Gulf region.

 

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UK Sends Elite Commandos, Divers to Iranian Shores as Tensions Spike – Reports
23 June 2019

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The reports about the UK deployment come against the backdrop of British Minister for the Middle East Andrew Murrison’s visit to Iran to de-escalate tensions.

UK Special Boat Service frogmen, who are trained to remove mines from vessels, perpetrate underwater attacks as well as counter foreign troops, have been deployed to the Persian Gulf “as part of a deterrent” amid growing tensions between Iran and the US, The Mirror reports citing its sources.

Apart from these elite commandos, highly-trained Royal Navy divers, who specialise in defusing explosives, have also been sent there to support the SBS. Their aim is to protect British ships from alleged sabotage and attacks by Iran, the report says.

According to the outlet, the elite UK forces could have mini-subs, called Shallow Water Combat Submersibles. It cites a senior defence source as saying that one of the SBS’s roles in the region “will be to gather intelligence on Iranian mining operations”.

“It will work closely with Royal Navy divers who are the specialists at disarming mines and protecting shipping. The SBS has a more aggressive role. Everyone is hoping that the tension will be eased and Iran will back down”, the source told The Mirror.

However, the Defence Ministry refused to “comment on special forces operations”.

In the meantime, UK Minister for the Middle East Andrew Murrison is set to visit Iran on a peacemaking mission.
"UK Minister of State for the Middle East, Dr Murrison, will conduct a short visit to Iran on 23 June … Dr Murrison will call for urgent de-escalation in the region and raise
UK and international concerns about Iran’s regional conduct and its threat to cease complying with the nuclear deal to which the UK remains fully committed”, the ministry stated.

The situation around shipping near the Strait of Hormuz, connecting the Persian Gulf with the Indian Ocean and controlled by Iran, escalated after an incident with two commercial vessels on 13 June. Two oil tankers, the Panama-registered Kokuka Courageous, operated by Japan’s Kokuka Sangyo Co, and Marshall Islands-flagged Front Altair, owned by Norway's Frontline, were hit by blasts in the Gulf of Oman. The US and several other countries, namely Saudi Arabia and the UK, immediately put the blame on Iran.

Although Tehran has adamantly refuted these accusations, Washington decided to reinforce its military in the region with 1,000 additional US troops, an aircraft carrier strike group, Patriot missiles, B-52 bombers, and F-15 fighters.

The tensions reached a new level after Iran downed a US Global Hawk spy drone. Following the incident, US President Trump claimed that he had cancelled a retaliatory strike just 10 minutes before it was to take place, later announcing that military actions against Tehran were still on the table.

 

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Iranian Navy Commander Says Downing of US Drone Can Be Repeated
24 June 2019
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Rear Admiral Hossein Khanzadi

On 20 June, Iran downed a US spy drone, stating that it had violated the Iranian border. The US military confirmed that the aircraft had been shot down, claiming, however, that it was flying in international airspace in the Strait of Hormuz.

Everyone saw the downing of the unmanned drone", navy commander Rear Admiral Hossein Khanzadi was quoted as saying by the Tasnim news agency. "I can assure you that this firm response can be repeated, and the enemy knows it".

Addressing the rising tensions between the countries, Iranian presidential advisor Hesamodin Ashna stressed that the US offer to hold talks with no preconditions is unacceptable considering the sanctions currently in effect against Tehran.

US President Donald Trump previously claimed that after the incident Washington planned a retaliatory attack, which was aborted 10 minutes prior to its start. Trump noted that the airstrike could have led to the deaths of around 150 Iranians, according to Pentagon estimates, and he decided it was a disproportionate response.
Top Iranian Commander issues stark warning to US: 'Protect lives of American troops' Top Iranian Commander Issues Stark Warning to US: 'Protect Lives of American Troops' pic.twitter.com/EHmxJd707d
— Sputnik (@SputnikInt) June 23, 2019
In the meantime, the US president stressed that he hadn't "called the strike against Iran BACK", but rather "just stopped it from going forward at this time". The US also introduced a new round of sanction against the Islamic Republic.

The drone was downed amid another escalation between Tehran and Washington, with the US increasing its military presence in the Middle East, citing an alleged threat from Iran.

 

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US Defence Intel Chief: Iran Likely at ‘Inflection Point,’ Seeks ‘Status Quo’ Change
24 June 2019
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Lt. Gen. Robert Ashley Jr

According to the top US military intelligence officer, Iran is experiencing economic hardships due to US sanctions and its actions are a sign of Tehran’s attempt to change the situation it’s currently in.

US Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA) director Lt. Gen. Robert Ashley Jr. said in an interview that Iran is likely at an “inflection point” now and that the recent downing of US spy drone and the attacks on tankers – which the US blames on Iran – might be a part of an effort to change the “status quo,” Fox News reported Sunday.
"I'd say that they're probably at an inflection point right now," Ashley said, according to Fox.

He shared his opinion that officials in Tehran might make an impression of being in a “favourable” position, considering its influence on the Iraqi government and that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, a long-time Iran ally, has remained in power.

However, he assesses that the US 2018 withdrawal from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal and the sanctions that followed have made a major impact on the Islamic republic.

Therefore, the attacks are Iran’s attempt to change the situation, Ashley opines.
"As you look at the developments of JCPOA [the Iran deal], the lack of an economic outcome for them, and then, really, the sanctions which have put a lot of pressure on the Iranian government [...] I think this uptick that you’ve seen is a reflection of them trying to kind of change the status quo in the path that they’re on," Ashley said.

Ashley’s assessment is that US President Donald Trump’s “maximum pressure” policy is working. However, Ashely’s criterion for “working” appears to be economical “hardship,” instead of, for example, Tehran’s willingness to come to negotiation table, which Trump has repeatedly called for. Tehran has as yet indicated no interest in conducting negotiations with Washington.

“I would say the pressure campaign is working and there is hardship,” he said. “It has an impact on the entire nation when you look at their economy, because the economy’s moving into a recession and they are struggling."

According to the Defence Intelligence chief, Iran’s ultimatum to once again begin uranium enrichment past 3.6 percent – which the US views as a process aimed at obtaining nuclear weapons – was in fact designed to pressure other nations to “rein in” the US, according to Fox News.

"I think one of the things that Iranians and we assess is, they want to figure out how they can also leverage the European nations to come back in and bring the dialogue back to the floor and to have those discussions”.

In its ultimatum, Iran demanded that EU signatories of the nuclear deal provide Tehran with an effective mechanism of trade to bypass US sanctions. The European signatories repeatedly stated their willingness to adhere to the nuclear deal, despite Washington’s withdrawal.

In 2018, Trump abandoned the 2015 deal reached under US President Barack Obama and re-imposed previously existing sanctions. Under the deal, Iran agreed to stop enriching uranium past the 3.6 percent threshold and stockpiling uranium and heavy water.

This year, bilateral tensions between the two nations escalated rapidly, as Trump sent military forces to Persian Gulf region. On 13 June, two tankers were damaged in Persian Gulf, and the attack was blamed on Iran. Iran repeatedly denied allegations of involvement, saying it has no intention of going to war.

On Thursday, Iran downed a US spy drone, saying it violated Iran airspace. In response, Trump claimed he imposed additional sanctions, and media reports indicated that a cyberattack on Iranian military was underway. Trump also claimed he stopped a military strike on Iran. US officials would not comment on the alleged cyberattack.

 

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UK Foreign Secretary Hunt Admits Britain Could Follow US Into War With Iran
24 June 2019

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Although the UK officials, including Conservative party leadership contender Jeremy Hunt, have proclaimed de-escalation in the region, he admitted that London would consider Washington’s request for military support amid the growing tension between Iran and the US.

Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt, who is running against Boris Johnson for the Conservatives’ leadership, has pledged to stand by the US even if its confrontation with Iran leads to a military conflict, according to The Daily Mail.

“We will stand by the United States as our strongest ally but of course we have to consider any requests for military support on a case-by-case basis,” the prime minister hopeful confirmed while campaigning in Scotland.

He admitted that London is “constantly in touch” with Washington. He also expressed the belief that that the solution is for Iran is “to stop its destabilising activity throughout the Middle East” and voiced concern about the recent incident with the two commercial vessels in the Sea of Oman near the Strait of Hormuz. He branded it sabotage, adding that the culprit “is almost certainly Iran.”

“We want to de-escalate the situation but we are of course extremely worried,” he reportedly said.

In another interview with BBC radio, he claimed that the UK has been doing “everything we can to de-escalate the situation" that he referred to as "very dangerous” and remained closely in touch.

He also claimed that the UK does not think that both Iran and the US want a war, but noted that it could be an “accidental conflict”.

"We are very concerned: we don't think either side wants a war, but we are very concerned that we could get into an accidental war and we are doing everything we can to ratchet things down", Hunt noted.

His remark came amid Andrew Murrison’s trip to Iran; the UK’s Minister of State for the Middle East is there on a peace-making mission. The Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) said that he would “call for urgent de-escalation in the region and raise the UK and international concerns about Iran’s regional conduct and its threat to cease complying with the nuclear deal to which the UK remains fully committed”.

At the same time, The Mirror reported that UK Special Boat Service frogmen, who are trained to remove mines from vessels, perpetrate underwater attacks as well as counter foreign troops, and highly-trained Royal Navy divers have been deployed to the Persian Gulf “as part of a deterrent”.

Tensions have been on the rise between the US and Iran since Washington pulled out of a nuclear deal and imposed sanctions on the Islamic Republic last year. Tensions rose further recently after Washington accused Tehran of attacking oil tankers and warships that had been deployed to the Persian Gulf.

The confrontation reached a new level after Iran downed a US Global Hawk spy drone. Following the incident, US President Trump claimed that he had cancelled a retaliatory strike just 10 minutes before it was to take place, later announcing that military actions against Tehran were still on the table.

 
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