I think we have a similar view of the problem. Just we differ on how to react towards it XDBro, the filthy problem is that shia sect gets triggered when Iran faces problems in politics our strategics.
This is the problem and it is created by their leader. Those shia Muslims in Pakistan, many have more liking for iran as compared to Pak. This is the core issue that Pakistan hasn’t come out openly against Iran as such a move will cause extreme civil unrest. Apart from that, the reason that we don’t want trouble on our western border even more.
Shias in Pakistan must understand that Iran is not Shia and Shia is not iran. Anything happening to Iran must not be associated with the sect. This is the misconception.
As for The conflict, If Pakistan openly sides, it will have short and long term consequences.
If we Side with Arabs openly,
Short term : India will use that chance to support iran similarly to Mukti Bahini and formation if Bangladesh. Unrest on western borders.
Long term : Iran won’t get back to us (it isn’t even now thanks to it’s traitorous nature), they will give CPEC a hard time. India will further use them to fund filthy ops inside baloch.
If we side with iran AGAINST ARAB (which will never happen),
First of all, that would be extremely Backstabbing, however, I don’t see that happening and even counting that is stupid in this analysis. We would be siding with a country that has a history of playing naughty with you, and you just go to them in hope for a friendly future. The point to remember is “in hope”, doesn’t confirm iran’s post conflict stance and status with Pakistan and hence a risk.
Leaving the Arab arena would mean the end of our True helpful relations who have supported in bad times. We have millions of expats residing in Gulf, they come back and loss of remittances, over local population and chaos for jobs, resources and food for common people, hence increased crime rate. Economic growth sabotaged !!!
At the same time, Leaving Arabs truly on their own will definitely have an impact on their morales, and I can’t say anything in terms of military outcomes as that is complicated to think. KSA is HUGE, they need a very huge military in numbers to keep strong control but they lack numbers currently. However, against iran, numbers doesn’t matter as Iran isnt competent enough To send its huge force to Arab. So, the battle will be limited to BMs and CMs which are a big deal.
Pakistan’s presence in Arab is a MUST and should increase in Future with a possible foreign base acting as naval, air and land, somewhere around Aden.
So in short, no sides, and sides shouldn’t be based on religious beef