It has become a lost game now unless Jordan and Saudi jump in.
It has become a lost game now unless Jordan and Saudi jump in.
The general morale of general Arab population is devastated. We are also very tired of conflict. Not to mention, afraid. The truth is, right now, we can't project power. Nobody knows what Arab intervention would be for or what it would accomplish. The agenda right now is focused around internal security + external security(from Iranian threat). It will remain that way. Iran won't outplay itself, I believe it too is confused and doesn't see a reason to take this any farther. Saudi Arabia won't be in any danger.
What will see is the remaining Arab influence die down. At this point, we are part of the past. Any major changes or initiatives taken in the Muslim + Arab world is going to be done by non-Arabs. Look at Indonesians, Turks, Pakistani's, Iranians, etc .... They gonna have influence on terms of general population scale, Arab governments will remain intact but there will be no Arab initiative not organized nor general.
Which I personally welcome? It saddens me how hard Arab situation has become, not just in damaged countries, but even in Gulf and Saudi Arabia, they citizens are not all well off, they are struggling too. I think this upcoming multinational Muslim future will be beautiful and interesting. They will be effective. Not us, but our kids.
If Turkey alongside with the Saudis and the Jordanians decided to take that with their own hands they will succeed. Egypt on the other hand can stand still in case something goes wrong. These three countries carry their weight and can change the current status quo.
Agreed, but there will be a payback to any Russia/US aggression taken against those three countries don't you think? You see the US/Russia cant have it all-all the time. There must be a way to put an end to this madness once and for all. If the US or and Russian try to undermine this then both will jeopardize their relations with the Turkey, Jordan and GCC. The future is now with the emerging economy that of the Asian countries mainly China, Japan and South Korea. Not to mention Africa. I can tell that there is a huge shift from the western pole to the eastern one.No one wants to directly intervene, to costly from all aspects. It would disrupt UN and international efforts to try keeping this thing a stalemate. The best option is an anti-ISIS operation, maxed out, with a trained force supported by these three nations. Of course Kurdish and Syrian forces would need to be targeted in that case as well, since they will instantly divest resources to the same operation. US will react against Turkey, along with Russia. Nothing serious, but they will target Turkish or Turkish supported armed forces. It will get serious if they actually try to liberate all ISIS held territory in Syria. I would take the risk personally, since there is buildup on ground of Kurdish, US, Russian and Syrian forces, the sooner, the less complicated it would be.
Agreed, but there will be a payback to any Russia/US aggression taken against those three countries don't you think? You see the US/Russia cant have it all-all the time. There must be a way to put an end to this madness once and for all. If the US or and Russian try to undermine this then both will jeopardize their relations with the Turkey, Jordan and GCC. The future is now with the emerging economy that of the Asian countries mainly China, Japan and South Korea. Not to mention Africa. I can tell that there is a huge shift from the western pole to the eastern one.
Things are complicated right now,nobody knows what will happen,the coming days will show us more.The West is still on top in every regard, and that won't change for another 50 years at least. We need them and they need us. However, it seems to be difficult to find common ground with the US on the ME conflicts/future. This problem needs to be resolved. US is better ally than Russia or China and has more to offer, and is more interested in the Middle East than others. What needs to occur first is a change in governance in the Arab world. Elections don't change much if it remains theocratic and authoritarian form of governance across the region. I can make an exception for Saudi Arabia, since the government plays different role there. Much of the say is up to the locals and clerics, and the main role it plays is to secure the holy sites and provide religious services to Muslims year round, as well as keep the country stable.
Which the royal family is doing, and it should be kept that way. I'd rather that not see direct Saudi role in certain regional conflicts. It should play different form of role and allow Turkey for example to take political lead in Syria. Saudi should play mediator role to make peace between certain players in Syria and if possible in Egypt and elsewhere.
I am not sure what Turkey is up to lately, the operation has resumed and now they're near regime held territory. What will happen from there, nobody knows.
Maybe @T-123456 can give his input.
Things are complicated right now,nobody knows what will happen,the coming days will show us more.
They handed him over to Assad(so they say).What will happen to the Syrian pilot landed inside Turkey two days ago? Is he going to be handed back to Assad?
They handed him over to Assad(so they say).
Well get back to your post later.The West is still on top in every regard, and that won't change for another 50 years at least. We need them and they need us. However, it seems to be difficult to find common ground with the US on the ME conflicts/future. This problem needs to be resolved. US is better ally than Russia or China and has more to offer, and is more interested in the Middle East than others. What needs to occur first is a change in governance in the Arab world. Elections don't change much if it remains theocratic and authoritarian form of governance across the region. I can make an exception for Saudi Arabia, since the government plays different role there. Much of the say is up to the locals and clerics, and the main role it plays is to secure the holy sites and provide religious services to Muslims year round, as well as keep the country stable.
Which the royal family is doing, and it should be kept that way. I'd rather that not see direct Saudi role in certain regional conflicts. It should play different form of role and allow Turkey for example to take political lead in Syria. Saudi should play mediator role to make peace between certain players in Syria and if possible in Egypt and elsewhere.
I am not sure what Turkey is up to lately, the operation has resumed and now they're near regime held territory. What will happen from there, nobody knows.
Maybe @T-123456 can give his input.