Prepare for war, says the Chinese Army

[Bayernulan]

I may have misread something along the line: a military measure would be taken to thwart Pelosi's Taiwan visit.

Yes, one needs to be very weary about who actually said what. It was the Western media that had speculated about Beijing to impose a no flight zone, so as to be able to possibly intercept Pelosi's flight - not China.
Same IIRC goes for this repeated statement about Russia conquering Ukraine from a 2 - 7 days. Also an assumption only spread via Western Media.

Independently there is IMO no doubt that Putin's initial timeline in regards to a planned government takeover in Kiev simply wasn't met/didn't happen as well.

Having stated that, let's not forget that yesterday Anthony Blinken opened up the next chapter by declaring: "An armed attack on Philippine armed forces, public vessels and aircraft will invoke US mutual defense commitments under that treaty," Blinken told a news conference.

So again without China ever claiming intentions or even indicating such an intention towards the Philippines, it is again the USA that is actively inciting trouble/issues in the next country, whilst having already caused huge troubles for Tsai Ing Wen and her party on Taiwan.

 

[MominKhan]

If you really want to understand the bigger picture, read this article. All these are careful moves towards this objective. Pakistan is caught in the middle trying to have friendly relations with both sides. Not going to happen.

The World Is Splitting in Two

Separate events are accelerating a shift that is transforming global politics.

www.theatlantic.com

 

[Bayernulan]

If you really want to understand the bigger picture, read this article. All these are careful moves towards this objective. Pakistan is caught in the middle trying to have friendly relations with both sides. Not going to happen.

The World Is Splitting in Two

Separate events are accelerating a shift that is transforming global politics.

www.theatlantic.com

Hi, living in China - "happily", I prefer not to have a VPN - so in this case I can't read your enclosed article.

The world is certainly becoming (more or less already is) a multi-polar world.
There is the USA and it's immediate buddies, the remaining 4 eyes and in parts Japan.
A Western EU that is getting more and more estranged with the Eastern EU and both having their own agenda issues with the USA
A third world group of countries mostly favoring China and Russia
China and Russia are logical allies in regards to objecting towards USA and the EU's political philosophy - but essentially the two are not sharing the same foreign policy and socio-economic principles.
A developing group of countries trying to define it's neutrality or allegiance towards the USA/EU or China/Russia

As for the latter group - since there is IMO no "ultimate strong leader country" within the "neutral block" - I guess that neutrality will not be a long time option.

 

[Bayernulan]

According to today's German media; Washington is preparing to invoke the next serious provocation within the coming weeks via sending naval and air-force assets into the China-Taiwan Straits. Additionally a financial and economic support package for Taiwan is being worked out that might also include weapon supplies.
If so I guess this will seriously impact the probability of a face to face meeting between Biden and Xi, envisaged to take place in November.

 

[Scorpion]

According to today's German media; Washington is preparing to invoke the next serious provocation within the coming weeks via sending naval and air-force assets into the China-Taiwan Straits. Additionally a financial and economic support package for Taiwan is being worked out that might also include weapon supplies.
If so I guess this will seriously impact the probability of a face to face meeting between Biden and Xi, envisaged to take place in November.

Dragging China into a military escalation!

 

[Bayernulan]

Dragging China into a military escalation!

That is what they hope for - but China is IMO too clever as to go for that obvious trap.
The USA desperately want's to proof that China is an aggressive nation with a "we want to conquer the world mentality" or at least towards Taiwan.

The only feasible way to stop or slow down China's progress is via embargoes/sanctions. Therefore the USA needs to keep painting that picture by whatever means.
IMO if the US should indeed send a naval and air-force contingent through the Taiwan Strait, the PLA will simply let them pass. Both sides are increasingly studying each others military capabilities and tactics. In this case it is the USA that would want to find out what preparations, tactical strategic moves the PLA might be capable off, if so why should the PLA oblige them? The PLA has already demonstrated it's ability to cut off/isolate Taiwan if necessary.

The ones that might face the real danger of being "pushed off" via a no-fly zone - are these ignorant European politicians that have announced their intentions to visit Tsai-Ing Wen and her ruling party. Well we will see.

BTW, there is still a mega project on the run regarding building a or two bridges to Taiwan (or a tunnel/bridge combination). Most likely the height of the bridge will not allow for US Super-carriers to pass underneath. After all Beijing is known for it's long term planing

 

[Bayernulan]

On Sunday 14th of August another unannounced US Congress delegation, led by Senator Edward Markey has arrived at Taipei and is expected to stay there till Tuesday. Tsai-Ing wen's foreign spokes-minister stated; - due to China further increasing tensions in the region, the US Congress decided to send another high ranking delegation to show it's friendship which is not afraid of China's intimidation attempts.

Due to such direct and falsifying statements, it is crystal clear that Tsai-Ing wen and her party leaders are on the US governments payroll. So I believe it is just a matter of time now for Beijing to seriously "act upon" Tsai Ing-wen's instigation's, and that of her party. (Which presently holds around a 40% approval/support rate within the Taiwanese population) and faces an election period beginning at the end of next year.
And midterm elections being held in November this year.

Independent of renewed/continued maneuvers conducted by the PLAN and PLAAF.

 

[Bayernulan]

On Thursday evening 25th of August, US Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn arrived announced in Taipei. She is the third US party to provoke and incite tensions within a month, and is scheduled to meet with Tsai Ing-wen and her party associates today.
In order to partake in some saber-rattling rhetoric, Tsai Ing-wen also announced, that the defense budget of Taiwan is going to be increased by 14% as of next year. Summing up to around US$19 billion or 2.4% of GDP.
A mediocre defense budget for a government whose present ruling party doesn't get tired of painting the preposterous picture of being in acute danger of being militarily attacked by a juggernaut.