Not sure I agree with that. As part of the Indo-Pacific alliance, India gets all the best western goodies - THAAD, F-35, F-15, Abrams, Chinooks, Apaches and whatnot. While we likely end up with sanctions. We either accept that our future war with India would be on very uneven playing field, or constrain our economy trying to get on par with them.
It is true and happening even today if you note carefully US is enhancing Indian capabilities in certain domains which can act as force multiplier for example
- Sales of 11 C-17 global master, 6 C-130J, 15 Chinook helicopter are specifically enhancing the capabilities of
Force Deployment and
Logistic Capabilities, here important thing to note these capabilities were one of weakest link of Indian force posturing.
- Sales of Apache helicopter which is specifically design for
Anti Armour Role, while sales of P-8 Poseidon for
Anti-subrole keep in mind before the sales of these system India had no system even half as decent and capable as these systems in her inventory and
most important thing is that these systems are direct counter to our offensive capabilities
- Approval for the sales of NASAM system to India is
directly a counter our Cruise Missiles capabilities and again to an extent
blunt our counter offensive capabilities
on the other hand IF we observe
- US is continuously denying the maintenance of our Anti armour capabilities by not only withholding of AH-1Z but by refusing to release the engines for T-129
- Sabotage of Ababeel Missile program
- By denying our F-16s fleet SOW and Anti-Ship weapon package
In short we can say that US is specifically targeting our warfighting capabilities by utilizing Political, Financial and Military means at her disposal
BUT
Most important thing is that the gap due to power imbalance which US is creating in the region is triggering the Instability at Conventional and Sub-Conventional level which in result will disturb the stability at Strategic level, here what we need to understand is that this power imbalance is creating a
False Sense of Security in India under the influence of which India is trying to create the
"New Normal" in the region both in terms of Politics and Military, removal of Article 370 related to Kashmir from Indian constitution and before that Balakot strike are the respective examples
Here in this scenario for us China emerge as a stabilizing factor as it undermine the Indian False Sense of Security, therefore it become necessary for India to deal with China first before to create a new normal in South Asian Region and for this India would have to engage herself more in Indo-Pacific region both in terms of Regional Politics and Militarily, so in that case military pressure on our eastern border could potentially decrease for sometime
There's no way India gets any long-term success in the MENA region. We've had historically had better relations with most of them, and the common religious strands go a long way sustaining that relationship. India will continue to get even more right-wing and eventually end up a Hindu nationalist state. No country in MENA is going to be comfortable with that.
NOT just MENA but
MENAP (Middle East, North Africa,
Afghanistan and Pakistan), we need to understand that US is not leaving this region but making a
Strategic Retreat to Rearrange the Forces and the Region, IF US has to survive as the only Superpower of the world then the current political map of MENAP region does not support US interests, it needs to be Redrawn in a manner that the Energy Flow and Trade Routes from the region could be denied to China and Russia for their future needs, this will make both China and Russia dependent on Europe and US for their Trade
Now you read the global map specially Eastern Pacific and MENAP region and see why US is increasing its presence in Pacific region while a big chunk of Middle East is under civil war and chaos but US is least bother to interfere, why US is supporting PTM and Baloch separatists in Af-Pak region while Kurds and Yazidis in Iraq and Syria, why US is supporting the annexation of West bank
There are many countries like Afghanistan, Yemen, Libya, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Kuwait that would find it difficult to survive as per their current political map, crisis in Libya would affect Egypt and probably Tunisia and Algeria as well while any annexation of Palestinian land would cause effect on Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt as well as on Iran who already has expanded her influence well beyond her borders so any clash in Lebanon and annexation of west bank would also increase her influence.
So the point is US would favour the redrawn of the MENAP region as per her interest and interest of her Strategic Partners and
IF India Find a Role in this Rearrangement and Redrawn of the region then we can probably understand what would be the outcome of an alliance of Hindutva India and Zionist Israel in the region, therefore it is better if India find itself more engae in the dealing with China then finding her role in MENAP region.
